{"id":33631,"date":"2026-11-10T20:18:03","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T20:18:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=33631"},"modified":"2026-11-10T20:18:03","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T20:18:03","slug":"trump-allies-kalshi-polymarket-now-cozying-up-to-democrats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=33631","title":{"rendered":"Trump Allies Kalshi, Polymarket Now Cozying Up to Democrats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span class=\"has-underline\">Since the start<\/span> of the year, the prediction betting site Kalshi has two hired former officials from Joe Biden\u2019s White House as a policy adviser and a top lobbyist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company\u2019s co-founders have also spent nearly $1 million on donations to federal candidates, with more than a third, or $377,000, going to Democrats like Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., according to a new report.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi\u2019s spending spree shows how much <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/10\/09\/kalshi-polymarket-betting-prediction-election\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/10\/09\/kalshi-polymarket-betting-prediction-election\/\">prediction market sites<\/a> have ratcheted up their presence in Washington as regulators craft rules for the industry. While the sites\u2019 close relationship with the Trump administration has drawn headlines, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.demandprogress.org\/api\/media\/file\/Prediction.pdf\">report from the progressive group Demand Progress<\/a> details how the industry\u2019s influence operation crosses party lines.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote has-text-align-right\">\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019ve been hopeful that they can have Democratic champions for their policy agenda.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The push for bipartisan relationships began months ago, but it could pay dividends as Democrats take over both chambers of a Congress, said Ella Fanger, the corporate power policy adviser for Demand Progress. A betting market critic, Fanger predicted that the companies will keep trying to win allies on both sides of the aisle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThey\u2019ve been hopeful that they can have Democratic champions for their policy agenda,\u201d she said, \u201cand not just have Trump\u2019s cronies sticking out their necks for them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The hiring spree of former Biden officials and spending on Democratic candidates come as prediction markets are facing increasing scrutiny over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/5d481ab6-af20-4da2-a1c8-e53f69877676?syn-25a6b1a6=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">betting on elections<\/a> and a spate of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/regulation\/government-prediction-markets-betting-2126dcb3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">suspicious trades from Washington<\/a> about policy moves and even military action. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On Tuesday, Democrats on Capitol Hill <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ms.now\/news\/democrats-trump-white-house-staff-prediction-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">called<\/a> for Trump to bar White House staffers from using the betting sites and, with Democrats taking Congress, many observers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hugheshubbard.com\/news-insights\/insights\/betting-on-washington-prediction-markets-and-congressional-scrutiny-after-the-midterms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">expect investigations<\/a> into their use in Washington.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a statement, Kalshi said it was willing to work \u201cacross the ideological spectrum.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cKalshi has had substantive conversations with policymakers over the past year regarding legislation that protects consumers, keeps minors off our platform, makes insider trading bans standard across the industry, and ensures the CFTC\u201d \u2014 the Commodity Futures Trading Commission \u2014 \u201chas the resources they need,\u201d said the company\u2019s head of government relations, John Bivona, a former Democratic congressional staffer and Biden White House official.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe\u2019ve come out in support of legislation introduced by members across the ideological spectrum,\u201d Bivona said, \u201cand we\u2019ve worked with dozens of lawmakers from both parties on these priorities.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- END-BLOCK(cta)[0] --><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"h-hiring-republicans-and-dems\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Hiring Republicans \u2014 and Dems<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi and its rival Polymarket are the dominant players in the prediction market industry, which has <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/10\/09\/kalshi-polymarket-betting-prediction-election\/\">flourished since Donald Trump became president<\/a> thanks to his administration\u2019s hands-off approach to regulation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The ties between the prediction betting sites and Trumpworld go all the way to the president\u2019s inner circle, as evidenced by Donald Trump Jr.\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/09\/01\/g-s1-141394\/polymarket-kalshi-donald-trump-jr-venture-capital-firm\">financial stakes at both<\/a> competitors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket has also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonsun.com\/money\/prediction-markets-kalshi-polymarket-lobbying-congress\">hired as a lobbyist<\/a> a Republican former top official at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The federal regulatory body has, under the Trump administration, sued states for trying to regulate sports betting as gambling.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Demand Progress report covers Trump Jr.\u2019s ties to the industry, but it also shines a light on the role of former Democratic congressional and executive branch staffers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi\u2019s hires have tended toward establishment Democrats. Among them are Stephanie Cutter, a <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2016\/02\/25\/tv-pundits-praise-hillary-clinton-on-air-fail-to-disclose-financial-ties-to-her-campaign\/\">political strategist<\/a> whose work spanned the Obama and Biden administrations as well as Kamala Harris\u2019s campaign for president. Cutter was tapped as a policy adviser for Kalshi in April. Bivona was hired by Kalshi as its head of government relations in January.<\/p>\n<div class=\"newsletter-embed flex-col items-center print:hidden\" id=\"third-party--article-mid\" data-module=\"InlineNewsletter\" data-module-source=\"web_intercept_20241230_Inline_Signup_Replacement\">\n<div class=\"-mx-5 sm:-mx-10 p-5 sm:px-10 xl:-ml-5 lg:mr-0 xl:px-5 bg-accentLight hidden\" data-name=\"subscribed\">\n<h2 class=\"font-sans font-light uppercase text-[30px] leading-8 text-white tracking-[0.01em] mb-0\">\n      We\u2019re independent of corporate interests \u2014 and powered by members. Join us.    <\/h2>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/join.theintercept.com\/donate\/now\/?referrer_post_id=527501&amp;referrer_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheintercept.com%2F2026%2F11%2F10%2Fkalshi-polymarket-betting-hiring-democrats%2F&amp;source=web_intercept_20241230_Inline_Signup_Replacement\" class=\"border border-white !text-white font-mono uppercase p-5 inline-flex items-center gap-3 hover:bg-white hover:!text-accentLight focus:bg-white focus:!text-accentLight\" data-name=\"donateCTA\" data-action=\"handleDonate\"><br \/>\n      Become a member      <span class=\"font-icons icon-TI_Arrow_02_Right\"\/><br \/>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<div class=\"group default w-full px-5 hidden\" data-name=\"unsubscribed\">\n<div class=\"px-5 border-[10px] border-accentLight\">\n<div class=\"bg-white -my-2.5 relative block px-4 md:px-5\">\n<h2 class=\"font-sans font-body text-[30px] font-bold tracking-[0.01em] leading-8 mb-0 xl:text-[37px] xl:leading-[39px]\">\n          <span class=\"group-[.subscribed]:hidden\"><br \/>\n            Join Our Newsletter          <\/span><br \/>\n          <span class=\"group-[.default]:hidden\"><br \/>\n            Thank You For Joining!          <\/span><br \/>\n        <\/h2>\n<p class=\"text-[27px] mb-3.5 font-bold text-accentLight tracking-[0.01em] leading-[29px] font-sans xl:text-[37px] xl:leading-[39px]\">\n          <span class=\"group-[.subscribed]:hidden\"><br \/>\n            Original reporting. Fearless journalism. Delivered to you.          <\/span><br \/>\n          <span class=\"group-[.default]:hidden\"><br \/>\n            Will you take the next step to support our independent journalism by becoming a member of The Intercept?          <\/span>\n        <\/p>\n<p>        <a href=\"https:\/\/join.theintercept.com\/donate\/now\/?referrer_post_id=527501&amp;referrer_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheintercept.com%2F2026%2F11%2F10%2Fkalshi-polymarket-betting-hiring-democrats%2F&amp;source=web_intercept_20241230_Inline_Signup_Replacement\" class=\"group-[.default]:hidden border border-accentLight text-accentLight font-sans px-5 py-3.5 inline-flex items-center gap-3 text-[20px] font-bold\" data-action=\"handleDonate\"><br \/>\n          Become a member          <span class=\"font-icons icon-TI_Arrow_02_Right\"\/><br \/>\n        <\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"font-sans text-accentLight text-[10px] leading-[13px] text-balance [&amp;_a]:text-accentLight [&amp;_a]:font-bold [&amp;_a:hover]:underline group-[.subscribed]:hidden\">\n<p>By signing up, I agree to receive emails from The Intercept and to the <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/privacy-policy\/\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/terms-use\/\">Terms of Use<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- END-BLOCK(newsletter)[0] --><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"h-tripled-lobbying-spend\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tripled Lobbying Spend<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, Kalshi has spent $1.8 million on lobbying in the first half of 2026, compared to $615,000 in all of 2025, according to the Demand Progress report.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket spent a relatively meager $180,000 during the same period this year, compared to $360,000 last year.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote has-text-align-right\">\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s important for states to be able to regulate this industry as gambling, which is what it is.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fanger, whose group is critical of the prediction markets\u2019 attempts to neutralize state sports gambling regulators, said she is worried that a pliant Congress could approve the Trump administration\u2019s favorable regulations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe concern is basically just that we could get legislation that would codify the rulemaking that the CFTC has already begun,\u201d she said, referring to the agency\u2019s efforts to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/regulation\/cftc-proposes-to-expand-definition-of-swaps-to-include-prediction-markets-trading-289d54d9?eafs_enabled=false\">formally exercise jurisdiction<\/a> over sports, political, cultural, and weather betting contracts. \u201cAnd we think that it\u2019s important for states to be able to regulate this industry as gambling, which is what it is.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The industry may need all the lobbyists it can get if <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/11\/04\/midterms-democrats-agenda-congress-iran-ai\/\">progressives gain power<\/a> in the next Congress. Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., who is angling to chair the House Financial Services Committee, said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/live-updates\/2026\/11\/06\/congress\/congressional-progressive-caucus-power-casar-01154496\">letter <\/a>last week that she wants to \u201crein in predatory lending and predatory platforms, including prediction markets, so that our constituents keep more of their hard-earned dollars in their pockets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Waters is also a <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/04\/18\/maxine-waters-crypto-primary\/\">longtime foil<\/a> to the crypto industry. Crypto currency interests alienated Democrats by spending tens of millions of campaign dollars on Republican Sen. Jon Husted of Ohio, who lost his seat to Democrat Sherrod Brown in the midterm election.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While crypto has lavished money on campaign spending <a href=\"https:\/\/theintercept.com\/2026\/05\/18\/super-pac-election-spending-midterms-aipac-ai-crypto\/\">through a super PAC<\/a>, the prediction market industry has opted for a quieter campaign of smaller donations routed through more traditional channels.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>#Trump #Allies #Kalshi #Polymarket #Cozying #Democrats<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since the start of the year, t&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33632,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[246],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33631"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/33632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}