{"id":14873,"date":"2026-01-23T03:45:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T03:45:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=14873"},"modified":"2026-01-23T03:45:25","modified_gmt":"2026-01-23T03:45:25","slug":"trumps-greenland-gambit-followed-a-familiar-playbook-one-he-wrote-himself","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=14873","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Greenland gambit followed a familiar playbook\u2014one he wrote himself"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/GettyImages-1273274230-e1769109666221.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>For the critics baffled by President Donald Trump\u2019s Greenland gambit, there is an overlooked advantage in covering this president. Unlike most political figures, Trump has already published a user\u2019s manual for how he negotiates; the classic <em>Art of the Deal,<\/em> written in 1987 by journalist Tony Schwartz (who, when Trump ran for office in 2016, called the book \u201cthe greatest regret of his life, no question.\u201d). The book details Trump\u2019s experiences negotiating his way to the top of New York\u2019s vicious real estate market, and the tactics he learned along the way. As President, particularly in his second term, Trump has clearly sought to imbue his approach to international relations with his deal-making persona.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>It took just one week for Trump to create\u2014and then resolve\u2014the Greenland crisis. Over the course of a week in January, he followed the strategy laid out in his book almost line by line.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trump\u2019s signature negotiation tactics can be distilled into 5 key rules. They are:\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Rule 1: Aim high<\/li>\n<li>Rule 2: the BATNA<\/li>\n<li>Rule 3: Use leverage<\/li>\n<li>Rule 4: Let others find the middle<\/li>\n<li>Rule 5: Play to fantasies<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rule 1: Aim high<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>He began by laying down the grounds of the threat. On Wednesday, Jan. 14, Trump wrote on Truth Social that \u201cthe United States needs Greenland for the purpose of National Security,\u201d adding: \u201cAnything less than that is unacceptable.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy style of deal-making is quite simple and straightforward,\u201d Trump writes in the book. \u201cI aim very high, and then I just keep pushing and pushing and pushing to get what I\u2019m after.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over the next few days, markets began to wobble as European nations sent troops to reinforce Greenland. On Saturday, after protesters across Europe chanted \u201cHands off Greenland\u201d in mass demonstrations, Trump put the pressure on high, announcing that eight NATO allies would face 10% tariffs next month, rising to 25% by June, until a \u201cDeal is reached for the Complete and Total purchase of Greenland.\u201d The timing mattered. With markets closed Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, and Davos looming the following week, investors and governments alike had a long weekend to absorb the threat and begin panicking.<\/p>\n<p>When markets reopened on Tuesday, they sold off sharply. Roughly $1.3 trillion in value was wiped out, with the Nasdaq falling 2.4%, its worst day in months, breaking equities\u2019 resiliency that has hardened over months of geopolitical scares. This is typically the moment when analysts conclude that Trump, a businessman who hates seeing red on the screen, gets cold feet and \u201cchickens out,\u201d leading to the \u201cTACO trade.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But the crash itself may have been part of the strategy.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rule 2: the BATNA<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u201cSometimes it pays to be a little wild,\u201d Trump writes in <em>The Art of the Deal,<\/em> after recounting how he once threatened a scammy banker with a murder charge. After nearly a week in which analysts and policymakers, for the first time since NATO\u2019s founding, were seriously weighing the possibility that the United States might destroy the alliance by aggressively pursuing Greenland, Trump had created leverage. Asked Tuesday how far he was willing to go, he remained coy, telling a reporter tersely: \u201cYou\u2019ll find out.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In business schools, they call this manipulating the BATNA: the Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement. By making the alternative to a deal look costly and destabilizing, Trump artificially inflates the downside risk, positioning America\u2014and himself\u2014as the least bad option.<\/p>\n<p>It is, by design, a browbeating strategy. French President Emmanuel Macron condemned Trump\u2019s use of tariffs as \u201cleverage against territorial sovereignty,\u201d adding pointedly: \u201cWe prefer respect to bullies.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rule 3: Use leverage<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The best way to deal, Trump wrote in his book, was to \u201cdeal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.\u201d Leverage, he said, \u201chaving something the other guy wants. Or better yet, needs. Or best of all, simply can\u2019t do without.\u201d No European nation can imagine living without the protections of NATO and the good will of the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday brought the reversal\u2014for Trump and for markets. During a nicely-timed speech at the World Economic Forum, right before the opening bell, Trump went out of his way to make clear that he would not use force to acquire Greenland, hammering the message so that investors craning their necks and bracing for another volatile session could hear it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNow everyone\u2019s saying, \u2018Oh, good,\u2019\u201d Trump said. \u201cThat\u2019s probably the biggest statement I made, because people thought I would use force. I don\u2019t have to use force. I don\u2019t want to use force. I won\u2019t use force.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rule 4: Let others find the middle<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Hours later, Trump met with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, often described by diplomats as the \u201cTrump whisperer,\u201d and announced a \u201cframework of a future deal\u201d on Arctic security. Markets surged, posting one of their best days in months.<\/p>\n<p>This logic, of letting the other party do the work of finding the middle, is repeated across multiple chapters of the book. Trump creates fear of a worse outcome (hostile takeover) and the other side (usually stodgy hotel managers) proposes buybacks, joint ventures, special access and the like. Trump accepts their proposal and then frames it as a total win. Trump told Maria Botoromo on Fox Business that the U.S. will receive \u201ctotal access\u201d to Greenland with \u201cno end.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In reality, the deal might not be a big departure from the status quo. The U.S. already enjoys sweeping military privileges in Greenland under a little-remembered 1951 defense agreement with Denmark. That treaty allows the U.S. to operate bases, station troops, and build military facilities in Greenland at its own discretion, which has already been used to create early warning systems tied to NATO (Because the shortest routes between Russia and North America run over the Arctic, Greenland\u2019s location makes it a key position for early missile detection).<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rule 5: \u2018I play to people\u2019s fantasies\u2019\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>But the \u201cfinal key\u201d to Trump\u2019s negotiation strategy, he writes, is bravado.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI play to people\u2019s fantasies,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>It has long been a fantasy of the U.S. to dominate Greenland, particularly in the proxy competitions of a multipolar world, as melting Arctic ice opens new shipping routes and intensifies interest from both Russia and China. Last year, a Chinese container ship was the first to travel from the U.K. to China via the Arctic, making the journey in a record 20 days. Russia, meanwhile, maintains a network of military bases and Cold War\u2013era equipment across the region.<\/p>\n<p>With stakes that high, even if the substance of the deal barely shifts the underlying balance of power, Trump can still claim to have done something on Greenland.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s why a little hyperbole never hurts,\u201d he wrote. \u201cPeople want to believe that something is the biggest, the greatest, and the most spectacular.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>#Trumps #Greenland #gambit #familiar #playbookone #wrote<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For the critics baffled by Pre&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14874,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[9404,1466,5540,486,1127,753,10071,5542,7387,10072,9929,496,10073],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14873"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14873"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14873\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}