{"id":13700,"date":"2026-01-19T12:37:04","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T12:37:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=13700"},"modified":"2026-01-19T12:37:04","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T12:37:04","slug":"chinas-population-falls-again-as-birthrate-drops-17-to-record-low-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=13700","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s population falls again as birthrate drops 17% to record low | China"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">China\u2019s population fell for a fourth consecutive year in 2025 as the birthrate plunged to another record low despite the introduction of polices aimed at encouraging people to have children.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Registered births dropped to 7.92 million in 2025 \u2013 or 5.63 for every 1,000 members of the population \u2013 down 17% from 9.54 million in 2024, and the lowest since records began in 1949.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The population dropped by 3.39 million to 1.405 billion, a faster fall than 2024, while deaths rose to 11.31 million from 10.93 million in 2024, figures from China\u2019s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Yi Fuxian, a demographer at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said births in 2025 were \u201croughly the same level as in 1738, when China\u2019s population was only about 150 million\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><gu-island name=\"InteractiveBlockComponent\" priority=\"critical\" deferuntil=\"idle\" props=\"{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/datawrapper\/embed\/BsEHf\/4\/&quot;,&quot;scriptUrl&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/embed\/iframe-wrapper\/0.1\/boot.js&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graph showing decline in China\u2019s birthrate since early 2010s&quot;,&quot;format&quot;:{&quot;design&quot;:0,&quot;display&quot;:0,&quot;theme&quot;:0},&quot;elementId&quot;:&quot;1e79a93b-8a3e-45e2-841c-411441efe59c&quot;,&quot;isMainMedia&quot;:false}\"><\/p>\n<figure id=\"1e79a93b-8a3e-45e2-841c-411441efe59c\" class=\"element element-interactive element--inline element-inline dcr-kibrkr\" data-alt=\"Graph showing decline in China\u2019s birthrate since early 2010s\" data-testid=\"interactive-element-Graph%20showing%20decline%20in%20China%E2%80%99s%20birthrate%20since%20early%202010s\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\"><a data-name=\"placeholder\" href=\"https:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/datawrapper\/embed\/BsEHf\/4\/\" class=\"dcr-1eupayo\">Graph showing decline in China\u2019s birthrate since early 2010s<\/a><\/figure>\n<p><\/gu-island><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The fall comes despite years of policies from Beijing intended to boost the flagging birthrate. This year, the government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/dec\/18\/china-to-raise-tax-condoms-boost-birth-rate\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">allocated<\/a> 90bn yuan (\u00a39.65bn) for its first nationwide childcare subsidy programme, for children aged under three. There are also plans to expand national healthcare insurance to cover all childbirth related expenses, including IVF treatment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">But young people still feel that it is too expensive to have children, especially in a time of high unemployment and slowing economic growth. \u201cGiven the current environment, it is a miracle that anyone is willing to have kids at all,\u201d wrote one Weibo user.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The average cost of raising a child in China until the age of 18 is 538,000 yuan \u2013 more than 6.3 times as high as its GDP per capita, compared with 4.11 times in the US or 4.26 times in Japan, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2024\/feb\/21\/cost-of-raising-children-in-china-is-second-highest-in-the-world-think-tank-reveals\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">according to<\/a> a Chinese population research thinktank. The cost is even higher in Chinese cities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Decades of a one-child policy mean that the current generation of adults who are at child-bearing age are socially conditioned to favour single-child households. The effects of the policy, which was lifted in 2017, mean that the pool of people of child-bearing age is also shrinking, as China\u2019s population rapidly ages.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"151bf34e-c662-4746-9977-7a21eb806c78\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-spacefinder-type=\"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.ImageBlockElement\" class=\"dcr-173mewl\"><figcaption data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" class=\"dcr-fd61eq\"><span class=\"dcr-1inf02i\"><svg width=\"18\" height=\"13\" viewbox=\"0 0 18 13\"><path d=\"M18 3.5v8l-1.5 1.5h-15l-1.5-1.5v-8l1.5-1.5h3.5l2-2h4l2 2h3.5l1.5 1.5zm-9 7.5c1.9 0 3.5-1.6 3.5-3.5s-1.6-3.5-3.5-3.5-3.5 1.6-3.5 3.5 1.6 3.5 3.5 3.5z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"dcr-1qvd3m6\">Women push baby strollers through Beijing. The cost of childcare in urban centres is thought to be one factor in the declining fertility rate.<\/span> Photograph: Adek Berry\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This year, China also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/dec\/18\/china-to-raise-tax-condoms-boost-birth-rate\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">removed condoms from the list of VAT-exempt items<\/a>, meaning that they will be slapped with a 13% tax rate, raising concerns that the government is trying to make it harder to avoid pregnancy. Free contraceptives are still available through government-funded programmes. But many internet users in China predicted that the birthrate would continue to fall in future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">China\u2019s death rate of 8.04 for every 1,000 members of the population in 2025 was the highest since 1968. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2024\/jan\/17\/china-population-decline-accelerates-as-birthrate-hits-record-low\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">The population has been shrinking since 2022<\/a> and is ageing rapidly, complicating Beijing\u2019s plan to increase domestic consumption and rein in debt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Over-60s account for about 23% of the total population, according to NBS data. By 2035, the number of people older than 60 is predicted to reach 400 million \u2013 roughly equal to the populations of the US and Italy combined \u2013 meaning hundreds of millions of people are likely to leave the workforce at a time when pension budgets are already stretched.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"dfe64725-882f-4346-ae00-e4932d535cf6\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-spacefinder-type=\"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.YoutubeBlockElement\" class=\"dcr-173mewl\"><gu-island name=\"YoutubeBlockComponent\" priority=\"critical\" deferuntil=\"visible\" props=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;7472cd5d-dbdf-4903-8e5e-4f0ff617eca4&quot;,&quot;assetId&quot;:&quot;1y6mc20x5XE&quot;,&quot;index&quot;:13,&quot;format&quot;:{&quot;design&quot;:0,&quot;display&quot;:0,&quot;theme&quot;:0},&quot;isMainMedia&quot;:false,&quot;expired&quot;:false,&quot;posterImage&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/media.guim.co.uk\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:1454,&quot;mediaTitle&quot;:&quot;Frozen in Time: the motherhood dilemma for single women in China&quot;,&quot;origin&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.theguardian.com&quot;,&quot;stickyVideos&quot;:false,&quot;enableAds&quot;:true,&quot;iconSizeOnDesktop&quot;:&quot;large&quot;,&quot;iconSizeOnMobile&quot;:&quot;large&quot;,&quot;hidePillOnMobile&quot;:false}\"><\/p>\n<div data-chromatic=\"ignore\">\n<div data-component=\"youtube-atom\" data-atom-id=\"7472cd5d-dbdf-4903-8e5e-4f0ff617eca4\" data-video-id=\"1y6mc20x5XE\" data-video-unique-id=\"1y6mc20x5XE-13\">\n<div data-testid=\"youtube-sticky-1y6mc20x5XE-13\" data-is-sticky=\"false\" class=\"dcr-0\">\n<div class=\"dcr-0\">\n<div class=\"dcr-1ykam5j\">\n<div data-format-theme=\"0\" data-format-design=\"0\" data-format-display=\"0\" class=\"dcr-cdvzun\"><button data-testid=\"youtube-overlay-1y6mc20x5XE-13\" aria-label=\"Play video: Frozen in Time: the motherhood dilemma for single women in China\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-rvfwnd\"><picture itemprop=\"contentUrl\"><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=620&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 980px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 980px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=620&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 980px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=700&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 740px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 740px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=700&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 740px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=620&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 660px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 660px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=620&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 660px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=645&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 480px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 480px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=645&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 480px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 320px) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 320px) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" media=\"(min-width: 320px)\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Frozen in Time: the motherhood dilemma for single women in China\" src=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/3159c9bafeb5bbe9684b9028eeb35eb60f077990\/4_0_7993_4500\/7993.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" height=\"259\" width=\"460\" class=\"dcr-1qi2at0\"\/><\/picture><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" class=\"dcr-fd61eq\"><span class=\"dcr-1alawo7\"><svg width=\"36\" height=\"23\" viewbox=\"0 0 36 23\"><path d=\"M3.2 0l-3.2 3.3v16.4l3.3 3.3h18.7v-23h-18.8m30.4 1l-8.6 8v5l8.6 8h2.4v-21h-2.4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"dcr-1qvd3m6\">Frozen in Time: the motherhood dilemma for single women in China<\/span><\/figcaption><\/div>\n<p><\/gu-island><\/figure>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">China has already raised retirement ages, with men now expected to work until 63 rather than 60, and women until 58 rather than 55.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Marriages in China plunged by a fifth in 2024, the steepest drop on record, with more than 6.1 million couples registering, down from 7.68 million in 2023. Marriages are typically a leading indicator for birthrates in China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Demographers say a decision in May 2025 to allow couples to marry anywhere in the country, rather than only their place of residence, is likely to lead to a temporary increase in births.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Marriages rose 22.5% year on year to 1.61 million in the third quarter of 2025, putting China on course to halt an almost decade-long annual decline. Full data for 2025 will be released later this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Authorities are also trying to promote \u201cpositive views on marriage and childbearing\u201d as they seek to counter the long-term effects of the one-child policy, which was in force from 1980 to 2015 and helped reduce poverty but reshaped Chinese society.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"3373869e-0d23-432f-bcc1-4ce01493fea3\" data-spacefinder-role=\"richLink\" data-spacefinder-type=\"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement\" class=\"dcr-47fhrn\"><gu-island name=\"RichLinkComponent\" priority=\"feature\" deferuntil=\"idle\" props=\"{&quot;richLinkIndex&quot;:19,&quot;element&quot;:{&quot;_type&quot;:&quot;model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement&quot;,&quot;prefix&quot;:&quot;Related: &quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;China\u2019s economy hit growth target last year despite Trump trade war and property crisis&quot;,&quot;elementId&quot;:&quot;3373869e-0d23-432f-bcc1-4ce01493fea3&quot;,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;richLink&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/jan\/19\/chinas-economy-hit-growth-goal-last-year-despite-trump-trade-war-and-property-crisis&quot;},&quot;ajaxUrl&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/api.nextgen.guardianapps.co.uk&quot;,&quot;format&quot;:{&quot;design&quot;:0,&quot;display&quot;:0,&quot;theme&quot;:0},&quot;isInStarRatingVariant&quot;:false}\"\/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Population movement has compounded the demographic challenge, with large numbers of people moving from rural areas to cities, where raising children is more expensive. China\u2019s urbanisation rate was 68% in 2025, up from about 43% in 2005.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Policymakers have made population planning a significant part of the country\u2019s economic strategy. This year, Beijing faces potential costs of about 180bn yuan ($25.8bn\/\u00a319.3bn) to increase births, according to Reuters estimates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Hu Xijin, the former editor-in-chief of the nationalist tabloid the Global Times, wrote on Weibo that provincial leaders should be judged on the birthrates for their regions, as well as GDP performance. \u201cOnce this indicator is included, the attention transferred from the government to society will undergo a qualitative leap,\u201d Hu wrote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">China has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world, at about one birth for every woman, well below the replacement rate of 2.1. Other east Asian countries including Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore have similarly low levels of fertility at about 1.1 births for every woman.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">China\u2019s pool of women of reproductive age \u2013 defined by the UN as women aged from 15 to 49 \u2013 is forecast to shrink by more than two-thirds to fewer than 100 million by the end of the century.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\"><em>Additional research by Lillian Yang. Reuters contributed to this report<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>#Chinas #population #falls #birthrate #drops #record #China<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China\u2019s population fell for a &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13701,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13700"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13700\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13701"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}