{"id":1038,"date":"2025-12-06T09:01:55","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T09:01:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=1038"},"modified":"2025-12-06T09:01:55","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T09:01:55","slug":"why-wall-street-thinks-prediction-markets-are-here-to-stay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/?p=1038","title":{"rendered":"Why Wall Street thinks prediction markets are here to stay"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div id=\"textFreeArticle\">\n<p>Wall Street pros\u00a0are bullish on betting markets and convinced they\u2019re here to stay. <em>Bloomberg Markets<\/em> surveyed 406 readers in October to assess their views of prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which are exploding in popularity. The survey comes as a growing number of traditional Wall Street firms are investing in the burgeoning sector, which lets traders wager on sports, politics and other real-world events.<\/p>\n<p>The vast majority of respondents expect more convergence between gaming and finance in the future, and an almost equal number say the blurring line between investing and gambling warrants further regulation. But despite general agreement on the size of the opportunity, survey-takers are more cautious when it comes to their own habits. Among respondents who find prediction markets useful to their job, less than a third say they regularly use them to inform trading decisions.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>I find the prediction markets\u2019 odds on market events like central bank rate paths and earnings results useful in my role in markets.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778382\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811286.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>2.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>How often do you look at prediction markets to inform your trading decisions?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778383\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811486.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"visible-sm-block visible-xs-block m1010\">\n<div class=\"ad-container-wrapper\">\n<p>ADVERTISEMENT<\/p>\n<p>CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>3.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>The owner of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange Inc., recently announced plans to invest as much as $2 billion into the crypto-based betting platform Polymarket. Do you see more convergence between gaming and finance in the future?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778384\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811857.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>4.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong>Robinhood Markets Inc. Chief Executive Officer Vlad Tenev says that tokenization will \u201ceat\u201d the entire financial system. What\u2019s your view?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778386\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812055.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>5.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>In your mind, are investing and gambling fundamentally different activities?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778385\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444811962.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>6\u00a0.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>How should regulators react to the blurring line between investing and gambling?<\/p>\n<div class=\"visible-sm-block visible-xs-block m1010\">\n<div class=\"ad-container-wrapper\">\n<p>ADVERTISEMENT:<\/p>\n<p>CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778387\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-555x209.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-555x209.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-1024x386.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-150x57.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-215x81.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-230x87.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217-744x281.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812217.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>7.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Zero-day options are gambling.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778388\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812358.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>8.\u00a0 <\/strong>Do you personally bet on sports or news events?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1778389 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812674.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>9.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Over the life of your betting on sports and events, have you \u2026 ?<\/p>\n<div class=\"visible-sm-block visible-xs-block m1010\">\n<div class=\"ad-container-wrapper\">\n<p>ADVERTISEMENT:<\/p>\n<p>CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1778390 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812697.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>10.\u00a0<\/strong>Are you a more successful investor or gambler?<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1778391\" src=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-555x179.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-555x179.jpg 555w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-1024x330.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-150x48.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-215x69.jpg 215w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-230x74.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757-744x240.jpg 744w, https:\/\/www.moneyweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/444812757.jpg 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\"\/><\/p>\n<p><em>Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a9 2025 Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p><em>Follow Moneyweb\u2019s in-depth finance and business news on WhatsApp here.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script data-cfasync=\"false\">\n            !function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s)\n            {if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function(){n.callMethod?\n                n.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)};\n                if(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n;n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version='2.0';\n                n.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0;\n                t.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];\n                s.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window, document,'script',\n                'https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/fbevents.js');\n            fbq('init', '779812924991616');\n            fbq('track', 'PageView');\n        <\/script>#Wall #Street #thinks #prediction #markets #stay<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street pros\u00a0are bullish o&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1039,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[166,893,894,891,892,890],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1038"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1038"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1038\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1039"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1038"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1038"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microvibenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1038"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}